Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Both sides are just one matchday into the season: Hoffenheim lost 2-3, showing defensive fragility (3 conceded), while Dortmund kept a clean sheet (0 conceded) in a 2-0 win. Dortmund's attack against Hoffenheim's leaky defence pushes the estimate above 3.5 goals. Corners (7.0 and 3.0) add up to 10, above 9.5; Dortmund already picked up a red card in their opener, and combined with Hoffenheim's cards (2 and 3 total) the total comfortably clears 3.5.